Disagreements between Asian nations over a China-backed free-trade deal surfaced at talks yesterday, raising questions over a target for concluding negotiations by the end of the year.
The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) would create a free-trade area of more than 3.5 billion people, bringing together China, India, Japan, South Korea, Australia and New Zealand, as well as Southeast Asian nations.
The RCEP talks, which began in 2012, have been given new impetus by the US withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) Agreement.
However, officials involved in the talks said the target to complete the discussion stage by year-end might be hard to meet given disagreements over several issues.
India in particular is reluctant to give up on tariffs, they said.
“They are concerned that major tariff elimination will cut revenue and their competitive position, especially against China,” said one official who did not want to be identified as the talks were private.
Another official also said India’s position posed the biggest challenge in yesterday’s ministerial talks.
The main focus of RCEP is reducing tariffs, although not as many would be cut to zero as under the TPP agreement.
Coverage of services and the digital economy are more modest than for the other agreement, and it would have no protection for labor rights or the environment.
Moreover, while it might have provisions for greater freedom of movement, this is one of the potential sticking points in discussions.
“We are making progress, but there’s still a long way to go,” New Zealand Minister of Trade Todd McClay said. “There is a renewed desire to find a way to a high-quality outcome, but it’s going to take a lot of hard work to get it done by the end of the year.”
Yesterday’s meeting in Hanoi followed heated discussions there over the weekend at the first gathering of trade ministers from APEC nations since US President Donald Trump’s switch to an “America first” agenda.
APEC nations failed to come out with their usual joint statement after the US rejected language on fighting protectionism which Asian countries wanted to include.
Members of the TPP trade deal, which does not include China, agreed on the sidelines of the meeting to pursue it, despite Trump’s decision to abandon the agreement in favor of bilateral arrangements with Asian nations.
The RCEP and TPP trade deals are not mutually exclusive, and some nations would be members of both.
However, the US withdrawal has put major doubts over the future of the TPP agreement.
RCEP, on the other hand, benefits from the backing of China, whose regional dominance has gained greater momentum with the policy shift in the US and its own “One Belt, One Road” initiative to extend its global influence. China has increasingly positioned itself as a global free-trade champion.
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