Study tests ‘fall of Taiwan’ threat to US

Montgomery concludes that the US would have only a limited amount of time to prepare options and credibly demonstrate — to both Beijing and Taipei — a willingness and ability to resist China’s coercive efforts before Taiwan capitulated to Beijing’s demands — “a development that could fundamentally alter the balance of power and influence in the region.”

Entitled Defense Planning for the Long Haul: Scenarios, Operational Concepts and the Future Security Environment, the study comes just weeks before the Pentagon sends its Quadrennial Defense Review to Congress next month.