Saddled with the toughest job in US diplomacy, the chief US negotiator with North Korea stands between a president who insists he does not want to talk and an enemy who shows no interest in listening.
While veteran US Department of State Asia hand Joseph Yun might be Washington’s best diplomatic hope for reducing the risk of a devastating war on the Korean Peninsula, he serves an administration riven by divisions over how to handle Pyongyang.
On the other side, North Korean leader Kim Jong-un shows little interest in negotiating either, at least not until he has developed a nuclear-tipped missile capable of hitting the US mainland.
Despite the daunting obstacles, South Korean-born Yun has told colleagues and others he hopes his diplomatic efforts can lower the temperature in a dangerous nuclear stand-off, according to Reuters interviews with more than a dozen current and former US officials and South Korean diplomats.
Most were deeply skeptical about his chances.
“He’s such a dreamer,” a White House official said, with a note of sarcasm.
“We don’t think this is going anywhere,” another US official said, although he added it was still worthwhile to keep engaging at some level with the North Koreans as long as Yun does not appear to be undermining US President Donald Trump’s public rejection of direct negotiations.
Trump has told aides that his military threats will drive North Korea to capitulate and rein in its nuclear and missile programs, four White House officials said, a view not shared among most US intelligence agencies.
However, Yun is quietly pursuing direct diplomacy with North Korean officials at the UN and has a mandate to discuss issues beyond the release of US citizens, a senior State Department official said last week.
In June, he secured the release of US student Otto Warmbier, who returned to the US in a coma and died days later.
Trump on Friday headed to Asia as a senior aide said the world is “running out of time” on the North Korea crisis. Behind the scenes, Yun is trying to keep open a fragile line of communication that could be used to prevent any miscalculation by one side or the other from spiraling into military conflict.
Further aggravating tensions, two US strategic bombers on Thursday conducted drills over South Korea. That followed word from South Korea’s spy agency that North Korea might be preparing another missile launch.
US officials have said privately that intercepting a test missile is among options under consideration, although there is disagreement within the administration about the risks.
In the midst of this is Yun, a soft-spoken, 32-year foreign service veteran who took on the job a year ago, near the end of the administration of former US president Barack Obama.
He is grappling with Trump’s strident rhetoric as well as disagreement among the president’s top aides over whether saber-rattling would force Kim to capitulate and what the threshold for any military actions should be, said several US officials who spoke on condition of anonymity.
Concern about Yun’s difficulties has surfaced in Seoul, where he visits regularly and where Trump is to arrive today on the second stop of his Asian tour.
Several South Korean officials expressed worry that Yun’s diplomatic efforts with North Korea lack any real underpinning of support from the White House.
“Things are clearly not easy for him,” one South Korean diplomat said. “Yun is precisely that person [to talk to North Korea], but Trump is killing the whole process.”
US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson told reporters on Sept. 30 that the US was probing for a diplomatic opening, only to be slapped down by Trump, who told him via Twitter this was a waste of time.
At the same time, CIA Director Mike Pompeo, who regularly briefs Trump on intelligence matters and is considered one of the most hawkish voices on North Korea in the president’s inner circle, has apparently gained stature.
Several officials familiar with those discussions say Pompeo is feeding Trump assessments that US military threats will force Kim to bow to US demands for nuclear disarmament, a position that some US intelligence officers privately contest.
The CIA declined to comment.
A US official who spoke on condition of anonymity said Yun has become diplomatically “untethered,” not fully connected to a core US approach that is emphasizing economic sanctions and the threat of military action rather than diplomacy.
The one tangible achievement of Yun’s diplomatic efforts in the past year was winning the release of 22-year-old Warmbier in secret talks with North Korean officials in Oslo and New York. Yun flew to Pyongyang in June to medically evacuate Warmbier.
When Choe Son-hui, head of the North Korean Ministry of Foreign Affairs’ North America bureau, met Yun in Oslo, she was unaware of how serious Warmbier’s condition was, a source in Washington knowledgeable about the matter said.
However, once she learned about it, she was “shocked” and Yun was summoned urgently to meet a North Korean diplomat in New York, which quickly led to Warmbier’s return home, the source said.
Warmbier’s death complicated Yun’s efforts as it contributed to a chilling of US-North Korean contacts around that time, the State Department official said.
Despite Trump’s threats of military action against Pyongyang, the State Department official said that Yun’s view was “the less you engage diplomatically, the more likely you are in the dark.”
Even so, Trump’s rhetoric has raised questions among allies and possibly even in North Korea, about how serious, if at all, his administration is about diplomacy and how much of a mandate Yun might have to pursue it.
Trump “personalized” the conflict — deriding Kim as “Little Rocket Man” — against the advice of his national security and intelligence experts, some of whom warned it could be counterproductive, a senior national security official said.
However, another official said that Trump, who in May said he would be honored to meet Kim, had not hurled any fresh insults at Kim in recent days, raising hopes for an altered approach.
A South Korean official in Seoul said it was necessary for Washington to have someone in contact with North Korea to help spur future negotiations if they are ever to take hold.
However, Trump’s national security adviser, Lieutenant General H.R. McMaster, last week told Japan’s NHK television: “What we cannot afford to do is enter into these long, drawn-out negotiations that allow North Korea to use these negotiations as cover for continuing their nuclear and missile programs.”
Former US negotiators sympathize with Yun, whose authority to negotiate has been undercut by the tug-of-war between a White House breathing fire and a State Department pushing a peaceful solution.
“Nobody doubted my authority,” said Wendy Sherman, one of the lead US negotiators who achieved the 2015 deal under which Iran agreed to restrain its nuclear program in return for relief from economic sanctions. “All of this undermines our ability to do the job.”
Robert Gallucci, who was chief US negotiator during the North Korean nuclear crisis of 1994 and has had recent contact with Yun, said the envoy is “realistic about the challenges of negotiating in the current atmosphere, including the tone set by the president, but he believes in the mission even as his approach is guided by realism.”
Additional reporting by James Pearson, John Walcott, David Brunnstrom and Linda Sieg
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