From China warning Western nations to stop meddling in Hong Kong to Chinese Communist Party (CCP)-backed newspapers describing “plots” by foreign spies to seize the territory, a growing row over electoral reform has exposed the fragility of hopes for full democracy.
Hong Kong returned to Chinese rule in 1997 with wide-ranging autonomy, an independent judiciary and relatively free press under the formula of “one country, two systems” — along with an undated promise of full democracy, a subject never raised by the British during 150 years of colonial rule.
The implications stretch beyond the shores of Hong Kong, a glamorous, free-wheeling global financial hub. The Hong Kong model has been held up by Beijing as a possible option for Taiwan.
Hong Kong elects its next leader in 2017 in what will be the most far-reaching version of democracy on Chinese soil. However, Beijing’s top representative in Hong Kong has ruled out open nominations for candidates, meaning the candidate will be chosen by a committee stacked with Beijing loyalists.
British Foreign Office Minister Hugo Swire this week called for universal suffrage in the 2017 polls, saying Hong Kong people should get a genuine choice. China said it would not tolerate outside interference.
Michael Davis, a constitutional law specialist at the University of Hong Kong, said foreign states had a legitimate interest in Hong Kong, noting how China had once courted international support for “one country, two systems.”
Beijing was now suspicious of their motives, he said.
“At its heart it is a kind of insecurity,” Davis said. “China is at that stage of development where it constantly attempts to edit inbound criticism, and that is what we are seeing here.”
The US and its large Hong Kong consulate are also being targeted by Beijing and its allies — something Washington’s new top envoy, Clifford Hart, is expected to address when he delivers his first Hong Kong speech this week.
Diplomats from both Western and Asian nations fear their routine work to reach out to political and business contacts in the territory is growing difficult as Beijing rails at “foreign interference.”
Party-backed newspapers in the territory have long questioned the activities of foreign diplomats, last week upping the ante with claims that British spies are highly active, subverting politics with leaks from colonial-era files.
“The diplomatic community is a core part of Hong Kong’s international edge,” one Asian diplomat said. “But we feel a bit squeezed and unwelcome ... we are entering a very sensitive time.”
Hong Kong remains by far the freest territory in greater China, but tensions are rising. Every year, on the anniversary of the 1997 handover, thousands take to the streets demanding fully democratic elections, some openly declaring their support for the British.
Pro-democracy groups have threatened to seal off the central business district next year as part of a campaign of civil disobedience. The most prominent Catholic in greater China, Cardinal Joseph Zen (陳日君), warned last month that the government and pro-Beijing supporters might try to incite violence.
“We’re at a point where the significance of the issues on the table are such that the [leaders] responsible for Hong Kong are paying very close attention,” a Western diplomat said.