He swam in the lough. He poured praise on his G8 partners, and lavished them with gifts such as 12-year-old bottles of County Antrim Old Bushmills Whiskey, Mulberry overnight bags and CD sticks, including music by Jake Bugg and Alt-J.
At a closing blustery press conference by the side of the lake, he sold Northern Ireland as if it were one of the seven tourist wonders of the world. If summit hosts can be marked for effort, British Prime Minister David Cameron deserves an A+.
Though tax campaigners accused the final agreement of lacking new, hard detail, the British prime minister may even have achieved a legacy, persuading his fellow G8 members to sign the Lough Erne declaration, a commitment to end corporate tax evasion and clear up tax havens. In years to come, the currently wordy declaration could prove to be a point of change. There is enough detail in the communique, say supporters, to keep the agenda going for years.
Outgoing Bank of England Governor Sir Mervyn King recently referred to “the audacity of pessimism” in reference to world summits — the backs of world leaders really have to be against the wall before they agree to do anything serious at events such as the G8, as they indeed did in 2007 during the banking crash.
Clearly, the most difficult issue at the Lough Erne summit, the crisis in Syria, is not yet deemed so bad that either Russia or the West feel sufficiently threatened to change previous positions. Cameron himself pointed out there had been predictions there would be no deal on Syria, or a communique signed by the G7 and not Russia, or else an agreement so weak as to be meaningless.
British officials were claiming manfully that the wording did have meaning, even though it contained no date for a peace conference, save for “as soon as possible,” or any requirement that Syrian President Bashar al-Assad stand aside to let the peace conference go ahead.
Cameron’s aides said the wording entangled the Russians deeper in a commitment to a transitional government. They also pointed to acceptance of an independent investigation into al-Assad’s alleged use of chemical weapons.
“The task now is to get on with the process of naming people from the regime, from the opposition, who can sit down and talk about a transitional authority that will take power in Syria,” Cameron said.
Cameron also believes the planned peace talks can lure al-Assad’s acolytes to break with their leader by vowing that if he goes, the existing military and security services would be preserved, saying the aim was “to learn the lessons of Iraq.”
However, judging by the reaction of Russian President Vladimir Putin — his refusal to accept a capitulation by al-Assad, his assertion of his moral and legal right to continue to supply weapons to al-Assad, and his insistence that both sides in any peace talks should be able to pick their delegations — there is little reason for al-Assad’s allies to believe the regime, or Russian support for the regime, is crumbling.
Indeed, after the summit US President Barack Obama focused on the need to strengthen the Syrian rebels with arms.
Cameron had promised a clarifying moment on Syria; it cannot be honestly said he secured one. It is not a breakthrough and as the French delegation said privately, such a breakthrough was never realistic.
Neither Russia nor the West are able to bring their respective clients to the negotiating table. The true progress has been in the greater understanding of each other’s position.
However, on tax, one British official said the communique had “more substance on tax and development than any communique for 20 years.”
Cameron accepted that many will simply see it as words on a page and that there are many “shoulds” and “shalls” as opposed to commitments in the communique, but there is now a process under way.
Among information to be shared will be whom ultimately benefits from shell companies, special purpose vehicles and trust arrangements often employed by tax evaders and money launderers.
Saudi Arabian largesse is flooding Egypt’s cultural scene, but the reception is mixed. Some welcome new “cooperation” between two regional powerhouses, while others fear a hostile takeover by Riyadh. In Cairo, historically the cultural capital of the Arab world, Egyptian Minister of Culture Nevine al-Kilany recently hosted Saudi Arabian General Entertainment Authority chairman Turki al-Sheikh. The deep-pocketed al-Sheikh has emerged as a Medici-like patron for Egypt’s cultural elite, courted by Cairo’s top talent to produce a slew of forthcoming films. A new three-way agreement between al-Sheikh, Kilany and United Media Services — a multi-media conglomerate linked to state intelligence that owns much of
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