Remember the old national-security lingo? It featured nouns like stability and order and the French detente, along with the adjective pragmatic. The central establishment word was realism.
Though the Reagan "evil empire" rhetoric presaged a break from that bipolar era, policymakers remained reluctant to rock the diplomatic boat. Realism reached its peak in 1991 when president George Bush warned independence-minded Ukrainians not to separate from the Soviet Union lest they engage in "suicidal nationalism." A hard-line vituperator labeled that his "Chicken Kiev" speech, and the elder Bush never spoke to me again.
Then, four years ago today, came the attacks of Sept.11, the Pearl Harbor of the war on terror. Soon after, a national-security policy incorporating Woodrow Wilson's idealism -- of "making the world safe for democracy" -- took hold. Led by hawkish neoconservatives determined to overthrow the Taliban and Iraqi president Saddam Hussein, the muscular approach to extending democracy shouldered aside the vocabulary of realism that had dominated US foreign policy for decades in the Cold War.
But now that the insurgency in Iraq has turned an initial "shock and awe" campaign into what Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld acknowledged to be "a long, hard slog," many in the national-security field are reasserting their criticism of the audacious Wilsonian ideal. In their language choices, however, the critics are not making the mistake of repeating denunciations of this Bush administration's unilateralism. Too many syllables, and most of us think of a lateral as a sideways pass in football often resulting in a fumble. And they recognize the need to update their self-identification. Enter the New Realism, often given the cachet of neorealism.
Philosophers remember this phrase as used by the Liebnizian metaphysician Bertrand Russell nearly a century ago: Back then, the neorealists, or New Realists, held that contrary to the theory of the Idealists, objects existed in the external world independent of the way we perceived them. I anticipate learned e-mail chastisement from philosophers for oversimplifying.
"In the academic field of international relations," writes Gary Rosen, managing editor of Commentary magazine, long a forum for neocons, "self-proclaimed neorealists have flourished for decades." After their post-Sept.11 period of quiescence, among their mainly Democratic articulators are Republicans who include the former Nixon aides Brent Scowcroft -- who wrote the elder Bush's Ukrainian speech -- and Robert Ellsworth, as well as Senator Chuck Hagel of Nebraska.
An advocacy group strongly opposing the conduct of the present conflict in Iraq named itself the Coalition for a Realistic Foreign Policy. Although Josef Joffe, the publisher-editor of Die Zeit in Hamburg, notes that "realpolitik and idealpolitik" have reinforced each other in the past, in the natural shortening of political labels we can expect the neocons to find themselves faced by the neoreals (pronounced NE-o-re-ALS).
President George W. Bush put a rhetorical shot across the neorealist bow last summer in his Air Force Academy speech: "Some who call themselves realists question whether the spread of democracy in the Middle East should be any concern of ours. But the realists in this case have lost contact with a fundamental reality. The US is always more secure when freedom is on the march."
This year, the phrase that Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice has been putting forward is transformational diplomacy, presumably as opposed to the foreign policy that fails to transform hostile, tyrannical regimes into democracies.
Richard Haass, director of policy planning in the State Department for most of Bush's first term, who left to head the Council on Foreign Relations, can be considered an optimistic neorealist. He writes in The Opportunity: America's Moment to Alter History's Course that "diplomacy should not be a dirty word." Although his phrase "effective multilateralism" is not as catchy as the paleorealist Gary Hart's "enlightened engagement," Haass offers an upbeat approach that could appeal to somewhat dovish muscular idealists as well as slightly hawkish new realists.
"To the neorealist," Haass tells me, "what matters most about foreign policy is behavior more than nature -- what nations do rather than what they are."
Does he identify himself with the label? "I suppose so, but I never heard anybody walk into a party and say, `I'm a neorealist.'"
For that matter, I never hear "I'm a neocon" anymore; as the natsec crowd diverges, labels are more often used to attack than self-identify. Keep your eye on anti-neorealist, which I coin today on the analogy of a previous era's anti-anti-Communist.
GWOT AGAINST MANGO
In natsecese, the language of the opposing national-security camps, acronyms abound. To describe transnational terror groups like al-Qaeda, we have MANGO: "Malign Nongovernmental Organization." When neorealists derided Bush's frequent characterization of the war in Iraq as part of the "Global War on Terror," they called the Bush appellation GWOT.
The Washington Post columnist Anne Applebaum, writing in the first issue of The American Interest, urged the administration to do more than drop the words "war" and "terror": "Clearly, coming up with a new acronym to replace `GWOT' -- the latest suggestion is the Global Struggle Against Violent Extremism, or G-Save -- will not suffice."
In that same determinedly serious new bimonthly publication, not to be confused with The Public Interest (recently defunct) or The National Interest, which is published quarterly (as Lord Palmerston never said, policy-wonk periodicals have no permanent friends, only Interests), readers will note an imaginative usage by James Wilson. That Pepperdine University professor, author of the 1995 classic The Moral Sense and longtime guru of conservative intellectuals, wrote that what college students learn about math and politics "may follow the same trans-cranial path."
Is transcranial -- dropping the hyphen -- a new brain-science term about the skull of a vertebrate, or is it a subtly implicit criticism of neorealism? Neither. Wilson defines it as "in one ear and out the other."
Recently, China launched another diplomatic offensive against Taiwan, improperly linking its “one China principle” with UN General Assembly Resolution 2758 to constrain Taiwan’s diplomatic space. After Taiwan’s presidential election on Jan. 13, China persuaded Nauru to sever diplomatic ties with Taiwan. Nauru cited Resolution 2758 in its declaration of the diplomatic break. Subsequently, during the WHO Executive Board meeting that month, Beijing rallied countries including Venezuela, Zimbabwe, Belarus, Egypt, Nicaragua, Sri Lanka, Laos, Russia, Syria and Pakistan to reiterate the “one China principle” in their statements, and assert that “Resolution 2758 has settled the status of Taiwan” to hinder Taiwan’s
Singaporean Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong’s (李顯龍) decision to step down after 19 years and hand power to his deputy, Lawrence Wong (黃循財), on May 15 was expected — though, perhaps, not so soon. Most political analysts had been eyeing an end-of-year handover, to ensure more time for Wong to study and shadow the role, ahead of general elections that must be called by November next year. Wong — who is currently both deputy prime minister and minister of finance — would need a combination of fresh ideas, wisdom and experience as he writes the nation’s next chapter. The world that
The past few months have seen tremendous strides in India’s journey to develop a vibrant semiconductor and electronics ecosystem. The nation’s established prowess in information technology (IT) has earned it much-needed revenue and prestige across the globe. Now, through the convergence of engineering talent, supportive government policies, an expanding market and technologically adaptive entrepreneurship, India is striving to become part of global electronics and semiconductor supply chains. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Vision of “Make in India” and “Design in India” has been the guiding force behind the government’s incentive schemes that span skilling, design, fabrication, assembly, testing and packaging, and
As former president Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) wrapped up his visit to the People’s Republic of China, he received his share of attention. Certainly, the trip must be seen within the full context of Ma’s life, that is, his eight-year presidency, the Sunflower movement and his failed Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement, as well as his eight years as Taipei mayor with its posturing, accusations of money laundering, and ups and downs. Through all that, basic questions stand out: “What drives Ma? What is his end game?” Having observed and commented on Ma for decades, it is all ironically reminiscent of former US president Harry