To find Regal Montrose cinemas in Akron, Ohio, just head down the 77 interstate and follow globalization's glowing signs. Using brand names as landmarks, helpful people will guide you past Chili's ("Like no place else") and Steak 'n' Shake ("May I take your order?") and warn you that when you get to Taco Bell ("Think outside the bun") you have gone too far. Eventually you'll find it next to Staples, the chain stationers, whose slogan, appropriately enough, is "That was easy."
On these strips of Americana, which serve as both pit stops for the long-distance traveller and shopping centers for local people, you could be anywhere in the country. Only the weather suggests that you are in Akron rather than Anchorage or Arizona.
And so it was last Friday night as hundreds of thousands of people across the country turned up at their local cinema to buy a ticket for Michael Moore's film Fahrenheit 9/11 on its opening night, either to find it was sold out or to emerge two hours later with tears in their eyes.
Linda Lejsovka, a 25-year-old supply teacher, walked away from the sold-out sign for the 10:30 p.m. screening saying she'd come back another day. Earlier, Suzanne Aylward came out of the 7:30 p.m. screening vowing "to get everybody I know" to see the film. Aylward was greeted by canvassers inviting her to a meeting to discuss the film and handing out Senator John Kerry stickers and badges, which she declined.
Aylward, who voted Ralph Nader last time, is going to back Kerry in November with reservations.
"People don't love Kerry because they're not sure what he stands for. But I'm going to vote for him because he's not Bush," she said.
One of the Kerry campaigners overheard and shouted: "That's not true. Look at his position papers. Listen to what he says."
Aylward shrugs dismissively and her friend, Bobbie Watson, takes over.
"I'm going to politely ask the people I know and who I trust and who trust me, who usually vote Republican or who haven't made up their minds, to at least consider voting for Kerry this time," she says. "I think they'll at least listen to me because they know I'm an open-minded person."
Welcome to the tone and tenor of the personal interactions that are going to assert the strongest influence on the forthcoming presidential election. In debates with friends, family and neighbors, at times hectoring, at others beseeching, filled with venom and vigor on both sides, such a close race is going to be won one vote at a time.
If Howard Dean's emergence from nowhere to challenge the Democratic establishment was described as "insurgent," then we are about to see the ground war. The air war of television advertising, mail shots and telemarketing will certainly help. But the millions of dollars already spent by both sides have simply kept them at a stalemate.
Most voters have already made up their minds. Many of those who haven't are going to have to be addressed personally. And it will be the lost art of old-style politicking, of door-to-door canvassing, mall leafleting and coffee-shop and bar-room conversations that will really make the difference.
With the nation polarized and so much at stake, the downward trend in active participation that has characterized US political culture for the past 30 years is set to be reversed. The percentage of Americans actively engaged in politics has been falling steadily and precipitously since the late 1960s.
Indeed the only aspect of political participation that has increased substantially is donating money. From 1964 to 1996 spending on election campaigns rocketed from US$35 million to US$700 million -- with a sharp increase in individual donations and new records being broken all the time.
"Nationalization and professionalization have redefined the role of citizen activists as, increasingly, a writer of cheques and letters," wrote political scientists Sidney Verba, Kay Schlozman and Henry Brady.
In this process, culture is both the galvanizer and the glue. Crudely speaking it gives people something to talk about -- a common reference point around which to organize and mobilize. This is as true on the right as it is on the left.
Initial indications suggest Fahrenheit 9/11 grossed more than the blockbusters playing on more screens and earned more in one weekend than Moore's Oscar-winning Bowling for Columbine -- until now the highest-grossing documentary ever -- did in the entire time it was running. But its opening was greeted with as much excitement on the left as Mel Gibson's The Passion was by the evangelists who form George W. Bush's most reliable base.
The latest edition in the Left Behind series, a modern-day rendition of the Book of Revelation in which the antichrist is the head of the UN, was in reprint before it had even launched. The authors, one of whom was a co-founder of the right-wing Moral Majority, have sold more books than John Grisham. Meanwhile more than 20,000 people volunteered for a Left Behind "street team," promising to disseminate messages about the books to their family, friends and neighbors.
Those who refer to such gatherings as simply preaching to the choir miss the point. With few people poised to change their mind, this election will largely be about who can assemble the biggest choir. The undecideds are not just those choosing between Kerry and Bush but the soft supporters in both camps who must be hardened up.
Nowhere is this truer than Ohio, the ultimate swing state. On the day that Moore's film opened, Kerry was in Akron for his eighth trip to the state since he secured the nomination. Bush, who won Ohio narrowly last time, has been there almost 20 times in the past four years and Vice-President Dick Cheney is on his way this week.
According to the most recent poll, Kerry is ahead by 49 percent to 43 percent -- free from the margin of error, but only just.
Lejsovka describes Akron, home to 217,000, as a town where "the school system sucks really badly" and she knows "tons of people who are losing their jobs." Last month, thanks to the decimation of the town's manufacturing base, they finally ditched its motto "Akron, the rubber capital of the world." On Thursday, while the town's nurses were striking for better wages and healthcare costs so they could afford to get sick in the very hospitals they work in, hundreds of hopefuls turned up at a job fair for the promise of 60 vacancies.
Debbie Holmes, 44, who last month lost the second job she'd had in a year, was one of them. She was looking for a "job I can stay in until I retire," she told the Akron Beacon Journal. Lejsovka said she will definitely vote, but not for Bush, and is otherwise unsure.
"Kerry seems a little wishy-washy to me," she said.
Winning over the likes of Lejsovka and Holmes will take persuasion rather than position papers. This will make the election far more volatile and predictions as to its outcome far less reliable. Over the past 30 years, US politics has been increasingly left to the professionals. This time it's personal.
Could Asia be on the verge of a new wave of nuclear proliferation? A look back at the early history of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), which recently celebrated its 75th anniversary, illuminates some reasons for concern in the Indo-Pacific today. US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin recently described NATO as “the most powerful and successful alliance in history,” but the organization’s early years were not without challenges. At its inception, the signing of the North Atlantic Treaty marked a sea change in American strategic thinking. The United States had been intent on withdrawing from Europe in the years following
My wife and I spent the week in the interior of Taiwan where Shuyuan spent her childhood. In that town there is a street that functions as an open farmer’s market. Walk along that street, as Shuyuan did yesterday, and it is next to impossible to come home empty-handed. Some mangoes that looked vaguely like others we had seen around here ended up on our table. Shuyuan told how she had bought them from a little old farmer woman from the countryside who said the mangoes were from a very old tree she had on her property. The big surprise
The issue of China’s overcapacity has drawn greater global attention recently, with US Secretary of the Treasury Janet Yellen urging Beijing to address its excess production in key industries during her visit to China last week. Meanwhile in Brussels, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen last week said that Europe must have a tough talk with China on its perceived overcapacity and unfair trade practices. The remarks by Yellen and Von der Leyen come as China’s economy is undergoing a painful transition. Beijing is trying to steer the world’s second-largest economy out of a COVID-19 slump, the property crisis and
As former president Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) wrapped up his visit to the People’s Republic of China, he received his share of attention. Certainly, the trip must be seen within the full context of Ma’s life, that is, his eight-year presidency, the Sunflower movement and his failed Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement, as well as his eight years as Taipei mayor with its posturing, accusations of money laundering, and ups and downs. Through all that, basic questions stand out: “What drives Ma? What is his end game?” Having observed and commented on Ma for decades, it is all ironically reminiscent of former US president Harry