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Thu, Nov 22, 2001 - Page 19 News List

Analysts consider that a weak yen may be in Asia's best interest

Intervention on the yen has not worked over 11 years and an International Monetary Fund paper concludes that a significantly lower unit may not be a disaster

By William Pesek Jr.  /  BLOOMBERG , TOKYO

Japan became increasingly reliant on Asia as a market for its goods and services during the last 15 years. Asia -- especially China, South Korea and Taiwan -- is now the largest destination for Japanese exports. It's not hard to see how a weaker yen has enabled Japanese companies to penetrate Asia's economies.

Asia's interconnectedness with Japan means that in the short run, a depreciating yen may be a negative. In the longer run, however, the IMF paper finds that Asian economies could gain, thanks to lower capital costs. Cheaper capital may more than offset the trade lost from a weaker yen.

Healthier growth in Japan could give a major boost to Asia's export markets. As a result, equity markets throughout Asia could begin to rise as investors bet on increased exports to Japan. If a much weaker yen can help bring about this result for Asia, perhaps it's worth a try.

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