Saudi Arabian Oil Co (Aramco), the world’s largest oil company, posted US$224 billion in earnings before tax last year, Fitch Ratings Ltd said yesterday, as the secretive giant opened its accounts for the first time.
Fitch assigned Aramco its first-ever credit rating — a stable “A+” — as the state oil giant prepares to sell bonds to help finance the purchase of a majority stake in Saudi petrochemicals behemoth Saudi Basic Industries Corp (Sabic).
The huge deal gives Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s ambitious reform program aimed at diversifying the economy a massive cash boost.
On Thursday last week, Aramco said it was buying a 70 percent stake in Sabic for US$69.1 billion, effectively merging the kingdom’s two largest companies.
As a result it has opened up its accounts for the first time since its nationalization more than 40 years ago, granting access to international ratings agencies Fitch and Moody’s Corp.
Fitch gave an “A+” credit rating to Aramco because a large portion of the company’s earnings are taken by the Saudi government, which depends on it for about 70 percent of its projected state revenues of US$260 billion.
Based on its finances, massive hydrocarbon reserves and low production cost, its stand-alone rating would have been a top “AA+” on an equal footing with international oil companies.
Fitch said it expected Aramco, which has an abundance of cash flow and low debt, to finance the Sabic deal mainly through its free cash flow.
“Saudi Aramco is the world’s largest oil producer by volume, the only oil producer in Saudi Arabia (outside of the neutral zone between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait), and the custodian of the kingdom’s vast reserves,” Fitch said.
“Its 2018 liquids production and its total hydrocarbon production averaged 11.6 million and 13.6 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, respectively, well ahead of the upstream output of global and regional integrated producers,” such as Abu Dhabi National Oil Co, Royal Dutch Shell PLC, France’s Total SA and the UK’s BP PLC, the agency said.
Aramco estimates its proven oil reserves at 227 billion barrels and its total hydrocarbon reserves at 257 billion barrels of oil equivalent, which implies a reserve life of 52 years — a comfortable level by international standards, Fitch said.
Fitch expects that Aramco’s debt will rise from about US$15 billion to about US$35 billion by 2021.
The agency said the acquisition of Sabic, the world’s fourth-largest chemical producer, “fits into the company’s vertical integration strategy,” and helps diversify earnings while having a limited impact on Saudi Aramco’s leverage.
Fitch said that based on information received from Aramco, the planned sale of up to 5 percent of Aramco through an initial public offering still stands and is likely to take place in 2021.
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