Global PC shipments are expected to grow less than 1 percent this year to 367.2 million units from 363.9 million last year, with growth falling below 2 percent for the second year in a row, International Data Corp said yesterday in a statement.
The forecast growth of 0.9 percent was a drastic cut from its June estimate of 5 percent growth, indicating that demand have been hit by a weak economy and consumers delaying purchases ahead of new product launches.
IDC also gave a cautious outlook for the medium and long term, expecting global PC shipments to rise by an average 7.1 percent from next year to 2016, down from the 8.4 percent compound annual growth rate it had previously estimated.
“IDC remains optimistic that PC penetration opportunities in emerging markets will form the bulwark of the market and help sustain double-digit Portable PC growth in the long run. However, a host of all-too-familiar variables will lead to a subdued second half of the year with only consumer notebooks remaining in growth mode for all of 2012,” Jay Chou, a senior research analyst with IDC’s Worldwide Quarterly PC Tracker, said in the statement.
Nomura Securities yesterday also revised down its global PC shipment forecast for this year to a 1 percent contraction, compared with its earlier forecast of an increase of 5.5 percent.
Both IDC and Nomura’s downward revision came as Hewlett-Packard Co and Dell Inc earlier this week offered conservative assessments of market demand for this year.