Sun, Oct 16, 2011 - Page 10 News List

US markets score third consecutive weekly rise

POSITIVE:Investors on Friday jumped on the microscopic fraction of barely positive news that the US would avoid a recession and that the EU crisis would be under control

AFP, NEW YORK

US stocks scored their third straight week of gains on Friday, as anticipation of a fairly solid third-quarter earnings season trumped worries about Europe and weak economic growth.

With just barely enough positive data to convince that the country will skirt — for now — a new recession and just enough news on the European political front to convince that the eurozone crisis would be under control, investors drove a solid rally on Friday to cap off another volatile, but ultimately positive week.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the week up 4.87 percent at 11,644.49. The broader S&P 500 advanced 5.98 percent to 1,224.58 and the tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite gained 7.59 percent to 2,667.85.

Since Sept. 23, the three indices have put on between 8.3 and 8.5 percent, even while hitting the year’s low point on Oct. 3.

BACK TO JAN. 1

The push upward has put the Dow and NASDAQ back to just a hair higher than where they were on Jan. 1, while the S&P 500 remains 2.6 percent down for the year.

“Third-quarter earnings season is in full swing and we expect it to be modestly positive after numerous reductions of expectations due largely to economic concerns,” analysts at broker Charles Schwab said. “We continue to believe the US economy will avoid a dip into recession and, for now, the data seems to support that view.”

The analysts said the US Federal Reserve’s new “Operation Twist” to drive down long-term interest rates by modifying its own bond purchase strategy has also contributed to the newfound optimism.

“But mortgage applications have yet to jump and companies continue to cite concern over governmental policies for their continued caution,” they warned.

Analysts were encouraged by retails sales data for last month released on Friday that showed a 1.1 percent rise over the previous month and that the annual pace of the advance was about 8 percent.

“It’s a good indication that the economy is not heading into recession,” Rockwell Global Capital’s Peter Cardillo said. “Also we are starting to see some real positive signs coming out of Europe, that there will be some announcement shortly.”

MORE ENCOURAGEMENT

Economists were also encouraged by the week’s data.

“The retail sales data put another dent into the recession talk as sales not only beat high expectations, but also increased by their strongest amount since February,” Jeffrey Rosen at Briefing Research said. “This suggests that economic trends may be returning to where they were expected to be at the end of Q4 2010.”

“Data continued to reflect an economy that is improving modestly, although well below its long-run trend,” a Wells Fargo analysis said.

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