Sun, Aug 08, 2004 - Page 10 News List

US stocks plunge on jobs report

LOSING GROUND Most investors had barely had time to digest the bad news before they found themselves fearing a rate hike by the Fed this week


A trader on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange stands next to a monitor that reflects the direction of the market on Friday.


The Dow Jones industrial average plunged nearly 150 points Friday to a new low for the year as investors bailed out of stocks in the wake of a disappointing jobs report and continuing high oil prices. The Nasdaq composite index and Standard & Poor's 500 also marked new year-to-date lows for the second straight session.

Payroll figures released early Friday showed employers added just 32,000 jobs last month, data low enough to warrant worries that a slowing in the economy in June may have been more just a pause.

Combined with oil prices still hovering near US$44 a barrel, investors sold off heavily for a second straight day, worried that inflation and slow job growth would interrupt the economic recovery for a sustained length of time.

"We've broken through our lows for the year, and the outlook for the near future looks even more negative," said Michael Sheldon, chief market strategist at Spencer Clarke LLC.

"Today's jobs data was clearly disappointing and calls into question the strength of the labor market, the strength of the economy and the strength of corporate profits over the next few quarters," Sheldon said.

The Dow fell 147.70, or 1.5 percent, to 9,815.33, the lowest close on the Dow since Nov. 28.

Broader stock indicators also fell sharply. The Standard & Poor's 500 index dropped 16.73, or 1.6 percent, to 1,063.97, and the Nasdaq was down 44.74, or 2.5 percent, at 1,776.89. It was the lowest close for the S&P 500 since Dec. 10, and the lowest for the Nasdaq since Aug. 26, 2003.

For the week, the Dow dropped 3.2 percent, the S&P 500 fell 3.4 percent and the Nasdaq plummeted 5.6 percent. It was the worst weekly performance for the Dow since the second week of March, and the worst week of the year for the other two indexes.

The job report for last month reflects the weakest increase in hiring since December and comes after a revised gain of just 78,000 in June, even less than previously reported. Economists had forecast the creation of roughly 243,000 jobs for last month.

Analysts said the employment data raised new doubts about what the Federal Reserve board of governors will do next week when it meets to discuss interest rates. The Fed had widely been expected to raise rates by a quarter percentage point to 1.5 percent.

The job figures "were a big surprise and they clearly rocked the market," said Hugh Johnson, chief investment officer at First Albany Corp.

"Now the debate will be intense about what they [the Fed] will do next week at their meeting, very intense. It creates just enough uncertainty," Johnson said.

Interest rate questions were reflected by a surge in demand for bonds, briefly pushing the interest rate on the benchmark 10-year note as low as 4.17 percent, a level not seen since the spring. Bond yields move in the opposite direction of their price.

While many analysts were looking to the Fed's statement following Tuesday's meeting for a possible boost to stocks, even a positive outlook might not be enough to assuage investors.

"We have to get to a level where people find valuations attractive again. That's just not the case at these levels," said Richard Dickson, senior market strategist at Lowry's Research Reports in Palm Beach, Florida. "Where these lower prices are, I wish I knew. I'd put in a buy order right now and get rich. But there's no telling where the selling might stop," he said.

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