Wed, Jun 11, 2003 - Page 11 News List

TSMC rally may help computer industry

AN INSPIRING GAIN As semiconductor stocks went up, industry analysts were optimistic that the lift will pull the improvving industry out of its two-year slump

TAIPEI , BLOOMBERG

"It's very much different from last year," Wu said.

"The war is over and confidence is picking up."

US consumer confidence climbed to its highest in six months in May. Interest-rate cuts by the European Central Bank have also added to the optimism, analysts said.

TSMC chairman Morris Chang (張忠謀) said last week he's "cautiously optimistic" that third-quarter demand will show an increase from the second quarter.

His company forecasts its sales will rise 20 percent this year.

Some gains in "second- and third-line" stocks such as Singapore-based Chartered Semiconductor Manufacturing Ltd (特許半導體) may not be justified, Summers said.

Chartered, which is heading for its 10th straight unprofitable quarter, has risen 49 percent since April 28. The stock fell 0.5 percent today to S$0.97 .

The rally has "some fundamental truth behind it, but valuations seem to be a bit stretched," said David Poh, a Singapore-based money manager with Alliance Capital Management, which invests US$9 billion in Asia.

"If the market continues to rally, I'll be trimming my positions into strength," he said.

Others say they plan to hold on. Chipmakers, chip-testers and makers of flat-panel displays such as AU Optronics Corp (友達光電) may continue rising, said Vincent Lai, who helps manage the equivalent of US$865 million at HSBC Asset Management Taiwan.

AU Optronics shares rose 1.2 percent today to NT$24.5. "The technology rally still has some upside potential," Lai said.

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